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ECHARTBOOK.COM

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I went into the market with a smart plan but got smartly burnt. I crafted a couple of stops but never had a chance to execute them, rather I was executed. I thought I caught a bull but it turned out to be a bear instead. I know bears were unfriendly but I never know they were that unfriendly until I came out broke. I wanted to join the 20% winners but how on earth I fell into the 80% loser camp. Up or down is only 50 50, yet winning seems like 1 to 99. Before the market open, I used my head; during the market I used my big strong heart. After the market, I came out with a heart attack. When I followed my broker, he was wrong; when I followed myself, he was right. Without capital I was always right and absolutely right; but when I had capital I were damm wrong. When I jumped into a bull trend the bull died; when I jumped into a bear trend, a young bull was running behind my back. When the price was so low and cheap, I stay out and regretted. When the price was so high, I jumped in and also regretted. They gave me front tips and insiders but it turned out to be tail end information chain. I put in a lot of homework and yet my wife, she did hell of a lot of housework, seems to be more right than me? It was so hard to strike a winner yet I can lose easily all I made if not more. My grandfather told my father not to invest in stocks; my father told this father not to invest in stocks. So I gambled in stocks. If they had said "invest wisely" I would be a millionaire by now. After all those agonising adventures and stories, there seems to have a universal successful pattern : Greed not. Have a Plan, stick to it. Play the rules. Be disciplined. Treat it not as a game, rather treat it as a business. If there is a real art in stock winning, it is the art of mastering and conquering yourself.
Bull market dies of overweight. Bear market dies of intoxication? A pig died in the hand of a butcher.
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Year end is comingDecember is coming .... Christmas bonus run is coming .. the STI index is breaching 2000 magical mark, and analysts are looking for 2500 to 3000 bywhile Joseph Cycle is calling 4,300 by 2008! ...                           . Every market upcycle or downcycle has to undergo the following emotional phases: Disbelief--->Disgusted--->Fear--->Courage--->Greed--->Hope--->Panic--->Desperation


Notices:
2. The Joseph Cycle book Market movement above 2000 STI proving Joseph Cycle is true. Best financial forecasting book in Singapore!


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The Ideal Man

STI
20040915
Close 2004   Chg 9.9 points.

Be happy if you see more bulls than bears or bulls only!


One bear is bad, two is ugly, three is un-bearable. One bull is good, two is comfort, three is a stampede.

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A picture paints a thousand word

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Horses mean confused. Deers are foods; or fools? The warring parties are the Bulls and the Bears. This is short term or 2-4 weeks outlook using our proprietary technical and forecasting model. No emotion!

Copyright@Echartbook.com 2001


Who is Simon Sim, the webmaster and analyst of EChartbook? I am the former Head of Technical Analysis with the Union Bank of Switzerland (1985-1998). Technical Analyst since 1979. Graduated from the University of Singapore in 1977 with a BBA Degree. Rode the Gold Boom from $300 to $900 and back down to $400. Rode the US Bull from DM2.5000 to DM3.5000 and down to Dm1.5000. Saw the Nikkei boom and bust, and the crash to 5000! Experiences many booms and busts in currencies, interest rates, stock markets and commodities. I wrote the HTML program for my website. I wrote my own proprietary intelligent Technical Analysis softwares. I invented 3 Bars Charting Method. I am writing my first book now - 14 Years Cycle, and dedicating this book to Joseph, son of Jacob and Rachel (Genesis). This book should be ready before November or December 2003! To return, click back button.

Why Technical Analysis? Why it worked?

Definitions of Technical Analysis:

Joseph Granville
Technical analysis is the art of tracking the market, following the footsteps of the "smart money" crowd. There is a readable pattern no matter what the guises, and the market has a set path to follow.

James Dines
Technical analysis is the process of finding the significant patterns that best summarize the behaviour of people in the market. Charts not only tell what was, they tell what is; and a trend from what was to is (projected linearly into the will be) contains better percentages than clumsy guessing. Stock market success is not should be (a fucntion of hope) but is (a function of pragmatic fact).

John Murphy
Technical analysis is the study of market or price actions, primarily through the use of charts, for the purpose of foreasting future price trends.

Simon Sim
Technical analysis is basically statistical analysis and we are doing it in our everyday life; we learned it in schools and universities; the government uses it to forecast future directions and trends, the economists also uses charts to present and support their analysis. The difference between the pro TA and the everyday life TA is that the pro TA uses more advance mathematical techniques and statistical formula to smooth and filter the datas ie the open, high, low, close and volume, and then project the data distribution into an oscillator, with some advance users converting the art into "black box" or mechanical and intelligent systems.

Feeling is subjective, fact is objective. The balance between subjective and objective analysis in trading is very important. A good trader feels the market but trade with the fact.


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